by Calculated Risk on 7/29/2025 09:00:00 AM
S&P/Case-Shiller released the monthly Home Price Indices for May (“May” is a 3-month average of March, April and May closing prices).
This release includes prices for 20 individual cities, two composite indices (for 10 cities and 20 cities) and the monthly National index.
From S&P S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Index Records 2.3% Annual Gain in May 2025
The S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller U.S. National Home Price NSA Index, covering all nine U.S. census
divisions, reported a 2.3% annual return for May, down from a 2.7% annual gain in the previous month.
The 10-City Composite saw an annual increase of 3.4%, down from a 4.1% annual increase in the
previous month. The 20-City Composite posted a year-over-year increase of 2.8%, down from a 3.4%
increase in the previous month. New York again reported the highest annual gain among the 20 cities
with a 7.4% increase in May, followed by Chicago and Detroit with annual increases of 6.1% and 4.9%,
respectively. Tampa posted the lowest return, falling 2.4%.
…
The pre-seasonally adjusted U.S. National Index saw slight upward trends in May, posting gains of
0.4%. The 10-City Composite and 20-City Composite Indices both reported gains of 0.4%.After seasonal adjustment, the U.S. National Index posted a decrease of -0.3%. Both the 10-City
Composite and the 20-City Composite Indices saw a -0.3% decrease, as well.“May’s data continued the year’s slow unwind of price momentum, with annual gains narrowing for a
fourth consecutive month,” said Nicholas Godec, CFA, CAIA, CIPM, Head of Fixed Income Tradables &
Commodities at S&P Dow Jones Indices. “National home prices were just 2.3% higher than a year ago,
the smallest increase since July 2023, and nearly all of that gain occurred in the most recent six
months. The spring market lifted prices modestly, but not enough to suggest sustained acceleration.”
emphasis added
Click on graph for larger image.
The first graph shows the nominal seasonally adjusted Composite 10, Composite 20 and National indices (the Composite 20 was started in January 2000).
The Composite 10 index was down 0.3% in May (SA). The Composite 20 index was down 0.3% (SA) in May.
The National index was down 0.3% (SA) in May.
The second graph shows the year-over-year change in all three indices.
The Composite 10 NSA was up 3.4% year-over-year. The Composite 20 NSA was up 2.8% year-over-year.
The National index NSA was up 2.3% year-over-year.
Annual price changes were close to expectations. I’ll have more later.
