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Calculated Risk: TSA: Airline Travel Unchanged YoY


by Calculated Risk on 5/06/2025 02:01:00 PM

Anecdotally, I’ve heard that airlines ticket prices are falling. That suggests less travel. Also, the Real ID restrictions go in place tomorrow, and that might impact domestic airline travel.

This is also something to watch with less international travel.

Here are the daily travel numbers from the TSA.

This data is as of May 5, 2025.

TSA Traveler Data Click on graph for larger image.

This data shows the 7-day average of daily total traveler throughput from the TSA (Blue).

Air travel is essentially unchanged YoY (up about 0.3% YoY).

The red line is the percent of 2019 for the seven-day average.  Air travel – as a percent of 2019 – is up about 4% from pre-pandemic levels.



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