Arsenal vs Real Madrid: Preview, prediction and head-to-head stats

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Arsenal face their toughest European test of the season as they welcome the kings of the Champions League, Real Madrid, to the Emirates Stadium on Tuesday night for the first leg of their quarter-final clash.

Mikel Arteta’s men have impressed in Europe so far this season, finishing third in the league phase standings before dismantling PSV Eindhoven 9-3 on aggregate in the round of 16. Now, they face their toughest challenge yet against a Real Madrid side synonymous with success on the continent.

Read Also: Champions League: Emirates agog as Arsenal clash with Real Madrid

Mixed domestic form ahead of Emirates clash

Real Madrid arrive in North London following a 2-1 home defeat to Valencia on Saturday, a result that leaves them trailing Barcelona by four points in the La Liga title race. Arsenal, meanwhile, were held to a draw by Everton but benefited from Liverpool’s slip-up against Fulham, which prevented the Reds from extending their 11-point lead at the Premier League summit.

As both sides shift focus to Europe, all eyes will be on the Emirates, where Arsenal aim to take a crucial step forward in their quest for a first-ever Champions League title—and Real Madrid look to remind the continent why they remain the kings of the competition.

Arsenal vs Real Madrid: Head-to-Head Stats

The only previous competitive meeting between Arsenal and Real Madrid came during the 2005/06 UEFA Champions League Round of 16. Arsenal famously emerged victorious, with Thierry Henry netting the only goal of the tie in a 1-0 first-leg win at the Santiago Bernabeu. A goalless draw in the return leg at Highbury sealed the Gunners’ place in the quarter-finals, en route to their first—and so far only—Champions League final appearance.

Madrid’s strong record against Premier League sides

While Arsenal have fond memories of their only clash with the Spanish giants, Real Madrid are seasoned campaigners when it comes to facing English opposition. Since the start of the 2017/18 season, Los Blancos have played 22 knockout-stage matches against Premier League teams in the Champions League, winning 11 and losing just six.

In recent campaigns, Madrid have secured statement away victories at the homes of Liverpool, Chelsea, and Manchester City—further underlining their pedigree in high-stakes encounters.

Arsenal favourites ahead of first leg

Despite Real Madrid’s European experience, data from Opta gives Arsenal the edge heading into Tuesday’s first leg at the Emirates. The Gunners are given a 41.7% chance of securing a home win, while Madrid’s chances stand at 31.1%. The probability of a draw is rated at 27.2%.

With both teams in strong domestic form and packed with attacking quality, the quarter-final opener in North London promises a captivating night of European football.

Anthony Nlebem

Head of Sports at BusinessDay Media, a seasoned Digital Content Producer, and FIFA/CAF Accredited Journalist with over a decade of sports reporting.Has a deep understanding of the Nigerian and global sports landscape and skills in delivering comprehensive and insightful sports content.



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