by Calculated Risk on 7/03/2025 08:30:00 AM
From the BLS: Employment Situation
Total nonfarm payroll employment increased by 147,000 in June, and the unemployment rate
changed little at 4.1 percent, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Job gains
occurred in state government and health care. Federal government continued to lose jobs.
…
The change in total nonfarm payroll employment for April was revised up by 11,000, from
+147,000 to +158,000, and the change for May was revised up by 5,000, from +139,000 to
+144,000. With these revisions, employment in April and May combined is 16,000 higher than
previously reported.
emphasis added
Click on graph for larger image.
The first graph shows the jobs added per month since January 2021.
Payrolls for April and May were revised up by 16 thousand, combined.
The second graph shows the year-over-year change in total non-farm employment since 1968.
In June, the year-over-year change was 1.81 million jobs. Employment was up solidly year-over-year.
The third graph shows the employment population ratio and the participation rate.
The Labor Force Participation Rate decreased to 62.3% in June, from 62.4% in May. This is the percentage of the working age population in the labor force.
The Employment-Population ratio was unchanged at 59.7% from 59.7% in May (blue line).
I’ll post the 25 to 54 age group employment-population ratio graph later.
The fourth graph shows the unemployment rate.
The unemployment rate was decreased to 4.1% in June from 4.2% in May.
This was above consensus expectations and April and May payrolls were revised up by 16,000 combined.
I’ll have more later …
